economy

Does 'Full Expensing' Unleash Factory Investment and Boost Worker Paychecks, or Just Subsidize Corporate Shareholders? What IRS Tax Microdata, Census Plant Records, and the Section 174 R&D Experiment Actually Prove

An empirical investigation into 100% immediate expensing, bonus depreciation, and R&D amortization, evaluating IRS corporate tax microdata across 120,000+ firms, U.S. Census manufacturing records, the 2022–2024 Section 174 innovation crunch, and how corporate tax incentives split between capital investment, employment, and worker wages.

November 2, 2026
education
Do Public Charter Schools Outperform Traditional Public Schools, or 'Cream-Skim' Students and Drain District Budgets? What Stanford's 2-Million-Student CREDO Studies, Admissions Lottery RCTs, and Fiscal Audits Actually Prove
November 1, 2026
health
Does ACA Medicaid Expansion Fail to Improve Health While Straining State Budgets? What the Oregon Experiment, Mortality Records, and Fiscal Audits Show
October 31, 2026
immigration
Does 'Chain Migration' Crowd Out High-Skilled Workers and Drain the Treasury? What Green Card Multipliers, Points Systems, and Mobility Data Actually Prove
October 30, 2026

More Analysis

crime
Do Mandatory Minimum Sentences and 'Three Strikes' Laws Actually Cut Crime, or Does Sentencing Reform Lower Recidivism? What Decades of Prison, Deterrence, and First Step Act Data Prove
An empirical investigation into the conservative debate over mandatory minimum prison sentences, 'Three Strikes' laws, and the bipartisan First Step Act of 2018, analyzing National Research Council deterrence findings, U.S. Sentencing Commission data, prosecutorial charging disparities, and federal recidivism tracking.
October 30, 2026
housing
Did 'Housing First' Fail America's Streets? What $24 Billion in Audits, Randomized Trials, and the 'West Virginia Paradox' Actually Prove
An empirical investigation into the conservative claim that progressive 'Housing First' policies caused the U.S. homelessness surge and enabled street addiction, analyzing HUD Point-in-Time data, California's $24 billion audit, At Home/Chez Soi randomized trials, the National Academies consensus report, and the structural housing economics of Gregg Colburn and Houston's 'The Way Home.'
October 26, 2026
economy
Did the 'War on Poverty' Destroy the Nuclear Family? What Welfare Rules, Deindustrialization, and 'Two-Parent Privilege' Data Actually Prove
An empirical investigation into the conservative claim that 1960s Great Society welfare programs caused the collapse of marriage and that family structure is the primary driver of child poverty and upward mobility, analyzing CDC natality trends, Moffitt welfare regressions, Chetty mobility maps, Autor-Dorn-Hanson trade shocks, and Melissa Kearney's 'Two-Parent Privilege' data.
October 19, 2026
economy
Does Abolishing Single-Family Zoning 'Destroy the Suburbs'? What Property Values, Crime Data, and Deregulated Housing Markets Actually Prove
An empirical investigation into populist conservative warnings that upzoning and fair-housing rules trigger suburban crime and crash property values, analyzing Mount Laurel natural experiments, Stanford LIHTC audits, NBER spatial misallocation models, and Houston vs. Minneapolis deregulation data.
October 18, 2026
economy
Do Public-Sector Unions Bankrupt Local Governments and Shield Failing Bureaucracies? What Act 10, Municipal Finance Audits, and Post-Janus Data Actually Prove
An empirical investigation into conservative claims that government employee unions inflate municipal budgets, drive the $1.35 trillion unfunded pension crisis, and harm student achievement, analyzing Bureau of Labor Statistics data, Wisconsin Act 10 natural experiments, and Boston College pension audits.
October 17, 2026
energy
Does the Federal Ethanol Mandate Drive Up Food Prices and Ruin Engines? What Corn Acreage, Octane Chemistry, and Lifecycle Emissions Data Actually Prove
An empirical investigation into fiscal conservative and free-market claims that the Renewable Fuel Standard operates as a regressive agricultural boondoggle, analyzing PNAS land-use models, Argonne National Laboratory lifecycle data, CBO food inflation audits, and RIN compliance markets.
October 16, 2026
fiscal
Does the National Flood Insurance Program Subsidize Coastal Mansions? What 48% of Payouts, Repetitive Loss Audits, and Risk Rating 2.0 Actually Prove
An empirical investigation into conservative claims that the NFIP operates as a $20 billion taxpayer bailout for wealthy beachfront homeowners, analyzing GAO repetitive loss audits, CBO vacation home data, and FEMA's Risk Rating 2.0 overhaul.
October 15, 2026
education
Did Banning Affirmative Action Restore Meritocracy? What Class of 2028 Data, SAT Reversals, and Legacy Preferences Actually Prove
An empirical investigation into conservative claims that the Supreme Court's SFFA ruling created a colorblind meritocracy, analyzing post-ban enrollment shifts across elite universities, the Chetty legacy study, and the testing reversal.
October 13, 2026
crime
Did Proposition 47 'Legalize Shoplifting'? What 50-State Felony Thresholds, NRF Data, and Prop 36 Actually Prove
An empirical investigation into conservative claims that California's $950 threshold sparked a national retail theft wave, analyzing 50-state statutory limits, Pew research, the NRF's retracted $45B claim, and the passage of Proposition 36.
October 12, 2026
health
Did Europe 'Ban' Youth Gender Transitions? What the Cass Review, Nordic Evidence Inquiries, and U.S. State Laws Actually Reveal
An empirical investigation into conservative claims that European health authorities disproved youth gender medicine, analyzing systematic reviews by the University of York, Nordic guidelines, U.S. prescribing data, and Supreme Court precedent in Skrmetti.
October 10, 2026
crime
Does Capital Punishment Deter Violent Crime? What Decades of Criminological Data and the Fentanyl Epidemic Reveal
An empirical investigation into conservative calls to expand capital punishment to drug traffickers and violent offenders, analyzing National Academy of Sciences reviews, execution timelines, drug market replacement dynamics, and constitutional limits.
October 8, 2026
election
Does Counting Non-Citizens in the Census Skew Congressional Power to Blue States? What the Data Shows
An empirical investigation into conservative claims that including non-citizens in the decennial census distorts congressional apportionment and the Electoral College in favor of Democrats, analyzing official Census algorithms, Pew simulations, and Sunbelt demographic trends.
October 7, 2026
immigration
Is the Asylum ‘Credible Fear’ System an Economic Loophole? What the Data Shows on Border Screenings, Backlogs, and Court Outcomes
An empirical investigation into conservative claims that the U.S. asylum system functions as a fraudulent economic migration pipeline, examining credible fear screening rates, the 3.1-million-case court backlog, work permits, and hearing attendance data.
September 19, 2026
crime
Do ‘Red Flag’ Laws Violate Due Process and Fail to Stop Gun Violence? What the Data Shows on ERPOs, Suicides, and Mass Shootings
An empirical investigation into conservative claims that Extreme Risk Protection Orders disarm law-abiding citizens without due process, invite weaponized false claims, and fail to stop violent crime, analyzing psychiatric studies, court audits, and constitutional safeguards.
September 18, 2026
health
Can Mandatory Price Transparency Lower Healthcare Costs? What the Data Shows on Hospital Rates, Consumer Shopping, and Market Power
An empirical investigation into conservative claims that mandating hospital price transparency will unlock consumer shopping and slash healthcare costs, analyzing CMS compliance audits, JAMA shopping studies, RAND pricing data, and antitrust risks.
September 17, 2026
immigration
Do Sanctuary Cities Really Harbor Violent Crime? What Decades of Data Show on ICE Detainers, Public Safety, and the Fiscal Fallout
An empirical investigation into conservative claims that sanctuary jurisdictions harbor violent criminals, analyzing FBI crime trends, peer-reviewed county regressions, Fourth Amendment detainer rulings, and the municipal fiscal crisis.
September 12, 2026
governance
Are Federal Civil Servants Really Overpaid? The Empirical Reality Behind the 25% Pay Gap and the DOGE Crusade
An empirical investigation into conservative claims that federal workers are overpaid bureaucrats, analyzing CBO compensation regressions, the Federal Salary Council's 25% pay gap paradox, and DOGE's 2026 civil service reform agenda.
September 9, 2026
environment
Does the Endangered Species Act Really Have a 97% Failure Rate? An Empirical Analysis of the 3% Recovery Statistic
An empirical investigation into conservative claims that the Endangered Species Act has a 97% failure rate, examining extinction prevention data, recovery timelines, private property incentives, and the 2026 regulatory overhaul.
September 8, 2026
politics
Would Congressional Term Limits Really "Drain the Swamp"? What 30 Years of State Data Reveals
An empirical investigation into conservative proposals to impose congressional term limits, analyzing 30 years of state legislative experiments, lobbyist influence, executive power shifts, fiscal spending data, and the 1995 Supreme Court Thornton precedent.
September 6, 2026
economy
Are Grocery 'Price Gouging' Bans Soviet-Style Price Controls? What the Data Shows
An empirical investigation into conservative claims that federal grocery price-gouging bans constitute Soviet-style price controls, examining retail profit margins, Federal Reserve markup studies, 37 state emergency statutes, and the 1970s Nixon price freeze.
September 5, 2026
election
Would a National Popular Vote Let 'Big Cities' Pick the President? What the Data Shows
An empirical examination of the conservative argument that abolishing the Electoral College would allow a few major cities to dominate presidential elections, analyzing Census population distributions, certified county voting returns, and swing-state campaign concentration.
September 4, 2026
economy
The Postal Service Dilemma: Does the USPS’s $9.5 Billion Deficit Justify Privatization?
An empirical investigation into conservative calls to privatize the U.S. Postal Service, analyzing $79.5B in revenue, the $9.5B FY2024 deficit, package contribution margins, and the $6.6B Universal Service Obligation.
September 3, 2026
health
The Health Savings Account Paradox: Can Consumer-Driven Healthcare Actually Lower Medical Costs?
An empirical investigation into conservative claims that universal Health Savings Accounts and high-deductible plans will discipline healthcare prices through consumer shopping, analyzing $174 billion in assets, clinical behavior studies, wealth concentration, and Direct Primary Care integration.
September 2, 2026
health
The $100 Billion Prescription Arbitrage: How the 340B Drug Program Outgrew Its Safety-Net Mission
An empirical investigation into conservative claims that the federal 340B Drug Pricing Program has become a multi-billion-dollar corporate arbitrage machine for wealthy hospital chains, examining $100B in discounted sales, charity care ratios, contract pharmacy expansion, and rural safety-net survival.
September 1, 2026
crime
Did 'Stop-and-Frisk' Really Save New York City? What Three Decades of Crime Data and Federal Rulings Reveal
An empirical investigation into the conservative talking point that mass stop-and-frisk policing drove New York City's historic crime drop, examining 5 million NYPD stop records, weapon hit rates, federal court rulings, and post-2013 crime trends.
August 31, 2026
crime
The AR-15 and the Assault Weapons Ban: What 30 Years of Crime Data and Ballistics Reveal
An empirical investigation into the conservative talking point that AR-15 rifles account for less than 3% of homicides and that assault weapon bans are ineffective, examining FBI crime statistics, DOJ criminology evaluations, trauma surgery ballistics, and mass public shooting databases.
August 30, 2026
economy
Abolishing the IRS for a 30% National Sales Tax: What the Data Shows About the FairTax Act
An empirical investigation into the FairTax Act (H.R. 25) proposal to eliminate income and payroll taxes in favor of a national retail sales tax, analyzing revenue-neutral tax rate math, middle-class tax shifts, prebate administrative costs, and international VAT realities.
August 29, 2026
crime
Do ‘Gun-Free Zones’ Invite Mass Shootings? What the Evidence Shows About Shooter Targeting, Deterrence, and Armed Staff
An empirical investigation into claims that gun-free zones attract mass shooters and that arming school teachers deters attacks, examining Secret Service behavioral data, FBI active shooter reports, peer-reviewed Lancet case-control research, and insurer liability realities.
August 28, 2026
health
Does Selling Health Insurance Across State Lines Lower Costs? What the Data and State Experiments Show
An empirical investigation into conservative proposals to allow cross-state health insurance sales, examining provider network economics, state legislative experiments, benefit mandate costs, and risk pool stability.
August 27, 2026
technology
Does Section 230 Enable Anti-Conservative Censorship? What the Law, Data, and Market Reality Show
A comprehensive legal and empirical investigation into conservative calls to repeal Section 230, evaluating platform liability rules against Supreme Court First Amendment precedent, algorithmic engagement data, and startup litigation economics.
August 26, 2026
governance
Can the President Unilaterally Defund Congress? What the Data and Law Show About Impoundment Power
An empirical and constitutional investigation into presidential impoundment power, evaluating claims of inherent executive authority against 200 years of Supreme Court precedent, GAO audits, and CBO federal budget math.
August 25, 2026
election
Disenfranchisement Scheme or Majority Rule? What the Data Shows About Ranked-Choice Voting
An empirical investigation into Ranked-Choice Voting, evaluating conservative claims of disenfranchisement and partisan bias against data from hundreds of elections, runoff turnout trends, and federal court rulings.
August 24, 2026
crime
Taking the Profit Out of Crime? What the Data Really Shows About Civil Asset Forfeiture
An empirical investigation into civil asset forfeiture, examining median seizure amounts, due process barriers, budgetary incentives, and the gap between anti-cartel rhetoric and street-level reality.
August 23, 2026
economy
The "Benefits Cliff" Trap: Does Moving Up the Wage Ladder Make Low-Income Workers Poorer?
An empirical investigation into how uncoordinated benefit phaseouts across SNAP, Medicaid, housing vouchers, and child care subsidies create effective marginal tax rates exceeding 100% for low-income workers.
August 22, 2026
economy
Does Rent Control Worsen the Housing Shortage? What Empirical Studies and Market Data Reveal
A rigorous empirical examination of rent control policies, federal 5% rent cap proposals, the Stanford San Francisco study, St. Paul's permit collapse, and Minneapolis supply expansion.
August 21, 2026
economy
Did Fuel Economy Rules Kill the $20,000 Car? What 20 Years of CAFE Footprint Data Reveals
An empirical investigation into Corporate Average Fuel Economy (CAFE) standards, the 2007 footprint formula, fleet weight trends, and the disappearance of affordable compact cars.
August 19, 2026
economy
Should the President Control Interest Rates? What 50 Years of Central Bank Data and Historical Precedents Reveal
An empirical investigation into central bank independence, examining cross-country inflation data across 130+ nations, the 10-year Treasury term premium, and historical case studies from the Nixon tapes to modern Turkey.
August 17, 2026
economy
Do Right-to-Work Laws Boost Job Growth or Lower Worker Wages? What 70 Years of State Data Shows
An empirical investigation into 26 Right-to-Work states, examining econometric data on corporate relocation, wage penalties, union density, and workplace fatality rates.
August 16, 2026
justice
Does Abolishing Qualified Immunity Bankrupt Police Officers and Drive Depolicing? What the Data Shows
An empirical examination of the qualified immunity debate, analyzing UCLA legal research on 99.98% officer indemnification, federal dismissal rates, and post-reform outcomes in Colorado and New Mexico.
August 15, 2026
economy
Do H-1B Visas Displace American Tech Workers or Fuel Innovation? What the Data Shows
An empirical examination of the H-1B visa program, analyzing NBER econometric studies on tech wages, Department of Labor prevailing wage tiers, outsourcing firm practices, and patent innovation metrics.
August 14, 2026
economy
Does the Section 199A Tax Cut Fuel Main Street Jobs or Top-Earner Savings? What the Data Shows
An empirical investigation into the 20% Qualified Business Income tax deduction under Section 199A, examining tax parity arguments, NBER research on hiring and investment, and Joint Committee on Taxation distribution figures.
August 13, 2026
immigration
Would Mandatory E-Verify Boost Wages and End Illegal Hiring? What the Data Shows
An empirical investigation into nationwide E-Verify proposals, examining state-level mandates in Arizona and Florida, wage impacts on native workers, identity fraud workarounds, and economic trade-offs.
August 12, 2026
economy
Do Guaranteed Income Programs Discourage Work? What the Data Shows on Cash Transfers
A data-driven analysis of landmark guaranteed basic income studies, examining their impact on labor force participation, work hours, earned income, and economic mobility.
August 11, 2026
technology
Did Red Tape Freeze $42 Billion in Broadband? What the Data Shows on BEAD Program Delays
An empirical examination of the $42.45 billion BEAD rural internet program, analyzing statutory timelines, federal regulatory mandates, GAO oversight findings, and tech-neutrality reforms.
August 10, 2026
economy
Do Regulations Drive Up Childcare Costs? What the Data Shows on Ratios and Credentials
An empirical investigation into state staff-to-child ratios, worker credential mandates, and daycare tuition prices, weighing Department of Labor, BLS, and NBER data.
August 9, 2026
health
Do Malpractice Lawsuits Drive Up Healthcare Costs? What the Data Shows on Tort Reform and Defensive Medicine
An empirical investigation into medical liability caps, defensive medicine testing, and physician premiums, weighing CBO estimates, JAMA and NEJM clinical studies, and state-level tort reform data.
August 8, 2026
economy
The Appliance Efficiency Standoff: Do Federal Mandates Save Consumers Money or Raise Upfront Costs?
An empirical investigation into Department of Energy efficiency rules on gas stoves, furnaces, and water heaters, examining DOE life-cycle cost models, upfront equipment premiums, retrofit expenses, and regional payback variations.
August 7, 2026
economy
The Davis-Bacon Standoff: Do Prevailing Wage Rules Inflate Infrastructure Costs?
An empirical investigation into the 1931 Davis-Bacon Act, analyzing CBO budget estimates, Department of Labor wage determinations, non-union contractor participation, and labor productivity offsets.
August 5, 2026
economy
The SALT Cap Standoff: Did Limiting State Tax Deductions End a Regressive Subsidy?
An empirical analysis of the $10,000 State and Local Tax deduction limit, examining federal revenue generation, income distribution effects, donor-state dynamics, and regional tax migration.
August 4, 2026
economy
Rethinking the Jones Act: How a Century-Old Maritime Law Shapes Domestic Shipping, Energy Costs, and National Security
An empirical examination of Section 27 of the Merchant Marine Act of 1920, analyzing U.S. cabotage restrictions, shipbuilding price disparities, domestic LNG transport constraints, and national defense sealift arguments.
August 3, 2026
economy
Deducting Auto Loan Interest: Who Benefits from the "No Tax on Car Loans" Provision?
An empirical examination of the OBBBA auto loan interest tax deduction, analyzing taxpayer savings, fiscal costs, distribution across income tiers, and impacts on U.S. vehicle manufacturing.
August 2, 2026
environment
Waters of the United States: Do Federal Clean Water Rules Bureaucratize Private Farmland?
An empirical examination of the WOTUS debate, analyzing Clean Water Act jurisdiction, Sackett v. EPA, farmer permitting costs, and downstream watershed protection.
August 1, 2026
health
Certificate of Need Laws: Do Healthcare Mandates Control Costs or Protect Hospital Cartels?
An empirical investigation into state Certificate of Need (CON) regulations, evaluating claims of supply restriction, hospital monopolies, rural access, and safety-net cross-subsidization.
July 28, 2026
economy
The Cost of Licensing: Evaluating the Economic Impact of State Professional Credentials
An empirical examination of U.S. occupational licensing expansion, consumer cost premiums, interstate labor mobility, and public safety trade-offs.
July 27, 2026
energy
Unleashing U.S. LNG Exports: European Lifeline, Domestic Price Pressures, and the Carbon Lifecycle Debate
An empirical investigation into U.S. LNG export expansion, Henry Hub price impacts, European market share, and the global carbon lifecycle debate.
July 26, 2026
economy
Releasing Federal Lands in the West: Housing Relief or Economic Misconception? What the Data Shows
An empirical investigation into proposals to transfer or auction federal public lands to solve Western housing shortages and boost resource development, analyzing CRS, BEA, Headwaters Economics, and ONRR data.
July 25, 2026
economy
Capping Credit Card Interest at 10%: Consumer Relief or Credit Crunch? What the Data Shows
An empirical investigation into proposals to cap credit card interest rates at 10%, examining Federal Reserve APR data, CFPB debt trends, bank default risk economics, and credit rationing impacts.
July 24, 2026
economy
Taxing Paper Profits: Would an Unrealized Capital Gains Tax Choke Innovation or Fix Wealth Inequality?
An empirical investigation into proposals to tax unrealized capital gains, examining billionaire effective tax rates, Federal Reserve equity distribution data, economic dynamic modeling, and European wealth tax repeals.
July 22, 2026
fiscal
Is U.S. Defense Spending at Historic Lows? What the Data Shows
An empirical examination of U.S. national defense expenditure, comparing historical GDP share, growth in mandatory entitlement spending, nominal global budget totals, and purchasing power parity adjustments with China.
July 21, 2026
crime
Do Americans Use Guns Defensively 2.5 Million Times a Year? What the Data Shows
An empirical examination of defensive gun use (DGU) in the United States, evaluating 1.6M–2.5M survey claims against federal crime statistics, CDC surveys, and methodological reviews by RAND and Harvard.
July 20, 2026
crime
Does Ending Cash Bail Increase Violent Crime? What the Data Shows
An empirical examination of cash bail elimination across Illinois, New Jersey, and New York, evaluating re-arrest statistics, court appearance rates, and judicial discretion data from Loyola Chicago, John Jay College, and the Manhattan Institute.
July 19, 2026
economy
Did California's $20 Fast-Food Minimum Wage Destroy Jobs? What the Data Shows
An empirical examination of California's AB 1228 fast-food minimum wage law, analyzing NBER, BLS, and UC Berkeley data on job losses, menu inflation, and automation.
July 18, 2026
health
Does Universal Healthcare Mean Waiting for Months? What the Data Shows on Wait Times and Access
An empirical comparison of healthcare wait times in single-payer systems versus cost-related rationing in the United States.
July 17, 2026
economy
Fact-Checking the '11 Percent' Infrastructure Claim: What the Bipartisan Law Actually Funded
An empirical breakdown of the $1.2 trillion Bipartisan Infrastructure Law shows that claims it spent only 11% on 'real' infrastructure rely on misleading math and overly narrow definitions.
July 16, 2026
education
Does Federal Student Aid Drive Up College Tuition? What the Data Shows
An empirical evaluation of the Bennett Hypothesis and the role of federal loans, state budget cuts, and cost disease in driving college tuition.
July 15, 2026
economy
Evaluating the Opportunity Zone Promise: What the Data Shows as Program Becomes Permanent
An empirical investigation of the economic impact of Opportunity Zones as the 2025 tax package makes the program permanent.
July 14, 2026
politics
Do European Countries Really Ban Mail-In Voting? What the Data Shows
An empirical investigation of the common claim that European democracies have outlawed postal voting due to widespread fraud.
July 13, 2026
environment
Does Environmental Regulation Cause Catastrophic Wildfires? What the Data Shows
An empirical analysis of how National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA) reviews, litigation rates, and agency staffing bottlenecks impact federal forest management and wildfire mitigation.
July 12, 2026
economy
Did the Government Spend $7.5 Billion on Only Eight EV Chargers? What the Data Shows
Political critics cite early rollout delays for the national electric vehicle network as evidence of waste, but the reality reflects complex federalism, strict procurement rules, and a recent funding standoff.
July 11, 2026
immigration
Did the Government 'Lose' 320,000 Migrant Children? What the Data Shows
A widely cited federal watchdog report highlights severe administrative gaps in tracking unaccompanied minors, but the reality is more nuanced than political claims of 'missing' children.
July 10, 2026
economy
Do 'Anti-ESG' Laws Protect Retiree Pensions? What the Data Shows
State-level crackdowns on environmental and social investing are framed as protecting public retirement funds, but financial studies reveal a complex mix of higher borrowing costs and sector-specific risks.
July 8, 2026
economy
Is the U.S. Dollar Collapsing? What the Data Shows on 'De-Dollarization'
Amid political calls to protect the greenback and warnings of BRICS currency plans, official data from the IMF and SWIFT shows the U.S. dollar's global dominance remains structurally intact.
July 7, 2026
health
Has the 'Right to Try' Act Saved Thousands of Lives? What the Data Shows
While the 2018 Right to Try Act has provided crucial hope and individual access pathways for select terminal patients, FDA reporting and clinical data suggest its widespread use is significantly lower than political rhetoric suggests.
July 6, 2026
energy
The Critical Minerals Dilemma: Does the Green Transition Trade Oil for Chinese Monopolies?
While China maintains a near-monopoly on processing strategic minerals like cobalt and graphite, a deep dive into battery innovation, friend-shoring, and recycling suggests the dependency is not permanent.
July 5, 2026
politics
Voter ID Laws and Turnout: What the Research Shows
A comprehensive review of academic data and recent election outcomes shows strict voter ID laws have little impact on aggregate turnout but create disproportionate administrative barriers for vulnerable groups.
July 4, 2026
economy
Did the American Rescue Plan Cause the Inflation Surge? What the Data Shows
An analysis of Federal Reserve, IMF, and academic research shows that while the $1.9 trillion stimulus boosted demand and contributed to U.S. inflation, global supply-chain shocks and energy spikes were the primary drivers.
July 3, 2026
economy
Does the 'Death Tax' Really Force Family Farms to Liquidate? What the Data Shows
An investigation into IRS and USDA data reveals that federal estate taxes affect less than 1% of agricultural estates, especially under the new permanently expanded exemptions of 2026.
July 2, 2026
energy
Did the Keystone XL Cancellation Cause High Gas Prices? What the Data Shows
An investigation into global oil markets, refinery bottlenecks, and U.S.-Canada pipeline capacity refutes the claim that revoking the Keystone XL permit drove inflation at the pump.
July 1, 2026
fiscal
Is Student Loan Forgiveness a 'Working-Class Bailout'? What the Data Shows
An analysis of economic data, debt distribution, and the 2026 policy shift evaluates the claim that student debt cancellation primarily harms working-class taxpayers.
June 30, 2026
immigration
Do Immigrants Displace Black and Hispanic Workers? What the Labor Data Shows
An analysis of BLS household survey data and economic research examines the claim that rising immigration rates harm Black and Hispanic employment.
June 29, 2026
economy
Does Foreign Aid Drive the U.S. National Debt? Fact-Checking the Fiscal Impact of Global Spending
An analysis of CBO spending data and KFF public opinion surveys reveals a stark disconnect between perception and reality in U.S. foreign aid spending.
June 28, 2026
crime
Is FBI Crime Data Unreliable? Fact-Checking the 'Missing Cities' Narrative
An investigation into NIBRS transition gaps, national population coverage, and independent indices to verify the accuracy of national crime statistics.
June 27, 2026
immigration
Did FEMA Divert Disaster Recovery Funds to Migrant Services? What the Data Shows
An investigation into FEMA's budget structure, comparing the $20 billion Disaster Relief Fund with the $640 million Shelter and Services Program, and the real causes of the 2024 disaster aid crunch.
June 26, 2026
energy
Is the Strategic Petroleum Reserve Dangerously Depleted? What the Data Shows
An investigation into the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve at its lowest level since 1983, evaluating buyback profits, net energy exporter status, and physical drawdown limitations.
June 24, 2026
economy
The Paris Climate Accord: Evaluating the Economic and Emissions Math
An investigation into the economic costs and environmental benefits of the Paris Climate Agreement, examining U.S. job growth, climate risks, and emissions targets in China and India.
June 23, 2026
environment
Does the United States Have the Cleanest Air and Water in the World? What the Data Shows
An investigation into the data behind the claim that the U.S. has the cleanest air and water, comparing domestic progress under the Clean Air Act with global Environmental Performance Index rankings.
June 21, 2026
economy
The '87,000 IRS Agents' Debate: What the Data Shows After the 2026 Budget Cuts
Following major 2026 federal budget cuts and workforce reductions, we analyze the data behind the claim that the IRS was hiring 87,000 armed agents to target the middle class.
June 20, 2026
finance
The Digital Dollar Ban: Privacy, Sovereignty, and the 2026 CBDC Standoff
As the CBDC Anti-Surveillance State Act moves through the Senate, we analyze the data behind the bipartisan push to ban a government-run digital currency.
May 22, 2026
economy
Who Owns America's Heartland? Analyzing the 'China Threat' in U.S. Farmland Data
As foreign acquisitions of U.S. agricultural land reach 46 million acres, we examine the data behind the bipartisan concerns over Chinese land holdings and food security.
May 22, 2026
economy
The Reciprocity Reset: Analyzing the 2026 Global Trade Shift
As the Supreme Court resets the boundaries of executive trade power, we examine the data behind the 2026 Reciprocal Trade Act and its impact on the U.S. trade deficit.
May 22, 2026
politics
The Panama Pivot: Did Trump Really 'Take Back' the Canal?
An investigation into the 2026 'maximalist' policy regarding the Panama Canal, analyzing treaty claims, Chinese influence, and the recent shift to U.S. port management.
May 21, 2026
economy
Do Undocumented Immigrants Cost Taxpayers $150 Billion? What the Data Shows
Analyzing the widely cited $150 billion cost figure against new data from the CBO and ITEP on tax contributions and deficit reduction.
May 20, 2026
economy
The Peace Dividend: Analyzing the Fiscal Impact of the 2025 Ukraine Accord
One year after the Trump administration brokered a cessation of hostilities in Eastern Europe, we examine whether the promised 'Peace Dividend' has materialized for the American taxpayer.
May 19, 2026
energy
The Baseload Crisis: Is the U.S. Power Grid Reaching a Breaking Point?
As surging AI demand meets the retirement of coal and gas plants, seven U.S. regions face elevated blackout risks this summer.
May 18, 2026
economy
The Great Migration of 2026: Why Americans are Still Fleeing 'Blue' States
As the 'Vintage 2025' Census data confirms a persistent outflow from high-tax states, a deeper look at IRS and realtor data reveals a complex tug-of-war between tax policy and housing affordability.
May 17, 2026
education
The Battle for the Field: Analyzing the 2026 Title IX Revisions
As the Department of Education moves to strip funding from schools with inclusive sports policies, a look at the data reveals the immense scale of the regulatory shift compared to the small number of athletes affected.
May 17, 2026
technology
The AI Manhattan Project: Can Deregulation Secure American Dominance?
As the 'Genesis Mission' kicks off and federal safety mandates are rescinded, the 2026 AI race has shifted from software safeguards to an all-out infrastructure war.
May 16, 2026
education
Disrupting the 'Cartel': The American Academy and the 2026 Endowment Tax
As elite universities face a tiered 8% tax on their billions, the Trump administration lays the groundwork for a free national online university.
May 16, 2026
economy
The American Sovereign Wealth Fund: Investing the 'Tariff Dividend' of 2026
As the U.S. attempts to monetize its $5.7 trillion asset base, the newly established sovereign wealth fund faces a 'liquidity vs. liability' crisis in a high-debt environment.
May 16, 2026
politics
The Birthright Citizenship Standoff: Analyzing the 2026 Supreme Court Battle
As the nation awaits a landmark ruling in 'Trump v. Barbara', 2026 data shows that 9% of U.S. births involve parents with temporary or unauthorized status.
May 16, 2026
finance
Bitcoin for Debt: Inside the 2026 Sovereign Debt Reset Proposal
As the national debt reaches $39 trillion, the Trump administration and Senate leaders explore using a 1 million BTC reserve as a 'hard asset' backstop for the U.S. Treasury.
May 16, 2026
economy
The "DEI Exit" of 2026: Analyzing the Corporate Shift to Merit-Based Hiring
As the EEOC proposes an end to demographic tracking and the 2025 Equal Opportunity Act takes hold, the 'Meritocracy Mandate' is redefining the American workplace.
May 16, 2026
economy
The EV Winter of 2026: Why the Federal Push for Electric Vehicles is Stalling
As U.S. EV market share plateaus at 6%, a combination of expired subsidies, Chinese supply chain dominance, and a consumer pivot to hybrids has created a policy-vs-reality crisis.
May 16, 2026
politics
The Decentralized Leviathan: Analyzing the 2026 Federal Agency Exodus
As the administration relocates thousands of federal jobs to the American heartland, 2026 data reveals a 77% voluntary separation rate and the lowest federal workforce levels since 1966.
May 16, 2026
crime
The Federal Surge: Has 'Law and Order' Intervention Lowered Urban Crime in 2026?
As FBI data shows a historic 17% drop in homicides, a Supreme Court ruling has forced a tactical retreat of federalized National Guard troops from major U.S. cities.
May 16, 2026
politics
The Finish the Wall Project: 2026 Construction and Encounter Data
As physical barrier construction reaches a record pace of 1 mile per day, CBP reports a 94% drop in southwest border encounters compared to 2024.
May 16, 2026
technology
The Urban Frontier of 2026: Freedom Cities and the Flying Car Revolution
As the administration prepares for a July 4th reveal of the first 'Freedom City' sites, the U.S. eVTOL industry enters the final stages of FAA certification.
May 16, 2026
economy
The G7 Trade Schism: Universal Tariffs and the End of Globalization
As U.S. effective tariff rates reach 19.5%, a historic showdown with the EU and the rise of 'non-aligned' hubs like Vietnam are re-routing the 2026 global economy.
May 16, 2026
politics
The Golden Dome: America's 2026 Race for a National Missile Shield
As the U.S. awards $3.2 billion for space-based interceptors, the 'Golden Dome' initiative has moved from campaign trail promise to a Manhattan Project-scale industrial reality.
May 16, 2026
politics
The 2026 Judicial Transformation: Remaking the Federal Bench
As the Senate confirms its 37th judge of the second term, the Trump administration's aggressive focus on the judiciary is reshaping administrative law in a post-Chevron era.
May 16, 2026
technology
The 2026 Lunar Standoff: Is China Winning the Race to the South Pole?
As NASA pivots Artemis III to Earth orbit and China's Chang'e-7 prepares for a direct ice-sampling mission, the 2026 space race has shifted from footprints to floor-plans.
May 16, 2026
health
The MAHA Revolution: Is American Food Really More 'Toxic' Than Europe's?
As the Trump administration targets synthetic dyes and ultra-processed foods, a data-driven comparison reveals the narrowing gap between U.S. and European food safety standards.
May 16, 2026
economy
The Housing Relief Gamble: Will Mass Deportation Actually Lower Your Rent?
As the administration points to falling home prices in Austin and Phoenix, a 2026 construction labor crisis threatens to create a long-term 'supply shock' in the housing market.
May 16, 2026
politics
The Right to Carry: National Reciprocity and the 2026 Regulatory Reset
As the 'Constitutional Concealed Carry Reciprocity Act' moves through the 119th Congress, 2026 data shows that 46% of Americans now live in permitless carry states.
May 16, 2026
economy
The No Tax on Overtime Experiment: Analyzing the 2026 Labor Shift
As the 2025 overtime deduction takes full effect in the 2026 tax season, new data reveals a significant boost for manufacturing workers but a 'loophole' crisis for transportation unions.
May 16, 2026
politics
The Northern Shift: Has Securing the South Created a Crisis in the North?
As encounters at the U.S.-Canada border drop 70% in early 2026, the 'fortress' approach on both sides has successfully suppressed the 2024 surge but increased migrant danger.
May 16, 2026
energy
The Nuclear Renaissance: Can Advanced Reactors Power the 2026 Grid?
As groundbreaking begins on the first Generation IV reactors and shuttered plants restart for Big Tech, the U.S. nuclear industry is entering a new era of growth and deregulation.
May 16, 2026
politics
The Parental Rights Revolution: Inside the 2026 Educational Sovereign Shift
As the Supreme Court strikes down 'secrecy' policies and the administration consolidates K-12 grants, the 2026 school year is defined by curriculum transparency and biological sex mandates.
May 16, 2026
politics
The Schedule F Reset: Accountability or the End of the Merit Systems?
As the Office of Personnel Management finalizes the 'Schedule Policy/Career' reclassification, 50,000 federal employees face a transition to at-will employment.
May 16, 2026
economy
The Great Semiconductor Re-Shoring: Are Tariffs Bringing the 'Silicon Heartland' to Life?
As TSMC Arizona begins mass production and Intel Ohio faces new delays, the 2026 semiconductor landscape is a high-stakes test of tariffs vs. technology.
May 16, 2026
finance
The Digital Fort Knox: Inside the 2026 Strategic Bitcoin Reserve
As the U.S. government reclassifies seized crypto as a national asset, the push to acquire 1 million BTC has created a high-stakes standoff between 'digital gold' proponents and fiscal traditionalists.
May 16, 2026
economy
Can Tariffs Replace the Income Tax? The 2026 Fiscal Modeling Reality
As the administration proposes a historic pivot away from the 16th Amendment, fiscal models for 2026 suggest a $2.4 trillion gap between tariff potential and income tax reality.
May 16, 2026
politics
The 'Grand Bargain' of 2026: Inside the U.S.-Saudi Strategic Defense Agreement
As the Trump administration decouples defense guarantees from Israeli normalization, a new $142 billion arms pact redefines the U.S. role in the Middle East.
May 16, 2026
energy
Wind Turbines vs. Whales: Separating Political Rhetoric from Marine Reality
As the Trump administration halts offshore wind projects citing marine life concerns, 2026 data continues to point to ship strikes and entanglement as the primary drivers of whale deaths.
May 16, 2026
politics
Did "Wokeness" Cause the Military Recruitment Crisis? What the Data Shows
Analyzing the numbers behind the 2022-2023 recruiting shortfall and the subsequent 2025-2026 rebound to determine if DEI initiatives were the true cause.
May 15, 2026
economy
The Social Security Tax Paradox: Who Wins and Who Loses in the New Reform Era?
Analyzing the impact of the Senior Bonus Deduction and the debate over full elimination of federal taxes on Social Security benefits.
May 14, 2026
education
The Universal Choice Revolution: Are Education Savings Accounts Delivering on Their Promise?
As more states adopt universal Education Savings Accounts (ESAs), new data from 2025 and 2026 reveals a complex landscape of enrollment surges, fiscal trade-offs, and mixed academic results.
May 13, 2026
economy
The 'Wall Street' Home Ban: Decoding the 2026 Crackdown on Institutional Landlords
As the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act moves through Congress, data reveals the true footprint of corporate buyers and the potential risks to the rental market.
May 12, 2026
politics
The Hollowed Leviathan: Analyzing the 2026 Federal Workforce Collapse
A data-driven deep dive into the 12% reduction of the federal workforce under DOGE and its measurable impacts on service delivery and government efficiency.
May 11, 2026
health
The 2026 Drug Pricing Paradox: Negotiated Savings vs. Launch Price Surges
As the first round of Medicare-negotiated prices takes effect, new administrative MFN deals and legislative changes create a complex landscape for patient costs.
May 10, 2026
economy
The 2026 USMCA Review: Has the 'Greatest Trade Deal Ever' Delivered for North American Workers?
As the mandatory six-year review approaches, data reveals a complex legacy of surging trade volumes and stubborn manufacturing job stagnation.
May 9, 2026
economy
Was the Pre-Pandemic Trump Economy the "Greatest in History"?
An evidence-based look at the claim that the U.S. economy under Donald Trump prior to the COVID-19 pandemic was the strongest ever recorded.
May 8, 2026
economy
The 'No Tax on Tips' Experiment: A 2026 Progress Report
One year after the 'One Big Beautiful Bill' was signed into law, we examine how the tax exemption for service workers has reshaped the hospitality industry and federal revenue.
May 7, 2026
education
Abolishing the Department of Education: What the Data Says About Federal Oversight
As the Trump administration distributes federal education functions to other agencies, we examine the fiscal and educational impact of dismantling the 46-year-old department.
May 6, 2026
economy
The Manufacturing Renaissance: Fact-Checking the 2025-2026 Industrial Surge
An investigation into the conflicting data between massive corporate investment announcements and declining factory employment in 2025.
March 25, 2026
economy
The 80-Hour Mandate: Are Work Requirements Moving Americans to Jobs or Just Off the Rolls?
An investigation into the impact of the 'One Big Beautiful Bill's' expanded SNAP and Medicaid work requirements on employment and dependency.
March 23, 2026
economy
The Deregulation Dividend: Measuring the Impact of the 129-to-1 Rollback
An analysis of the Trump administration's aggressive deregulation agenda and its impact on GDP, business investment, and household costs.
March 21, 2026
Fact Check | Election Integrity | 2026 Midterms
Non-Citizen Voting in U.S. Elections: Examining the Data Behind the Claims
An investigation into claims of widespread non-citizen voting and the potential impact of the proposed SAVE America Act on the 2026 midterms.
March 19, 2026
Analysis | Economy | Immigration
Do Mass Deportations Raise American Wages?
An investigation into the 2025-2026 labor market shifts and whether the Trump administration's deportation policies have delivered the promised wage growth for U.S.-born workers.
March 18, 2026
Fact Check | Border Security | Public Health
The Fentanyl Frontier: Who Is Actually Smuggling the Drugs?
An evidence-based analysis of the actors and methods behind fentanyl smuggling at the U.S. southern border.
March 17, 2026
Fact Check | Economy
Did the 2017 Tax Cuts Pay for Themselves? What the Data Shows
As the Trump administration pushes to make the expiring Tax Cuts and Jobs Act permanent, we analyze the fiscal record of the signature 2017 legislation.
March 16, 2026
Fact Check | Public Safety | Data Analysis
The 'Democrat-Run City' Crime Narrative: What the 2024-2025 Data Reveals
An evidence-based analysis of crime trends in American cities, examining the impact of political leadership versus broader socio-economic factors.
March 15, 2026
Fact Check | Economy
The $2 Trillion Question: Can DOGE and Tax Cuts Really Balance the 2026 Budget?
An analysis of whether the Department of Government Efficiency and proposed tax cut extensions can deliver on the promise of a balanced federal budget in 2026.
March 13, 2026
Analysis | Economy | Trade
The "Liberation Day" Ledger: One Year of Universal Tariffs
An evidence-based analysis of the 2025 'Liberation Day' tariffs on manufacturing, revenue, and the national trade deficit.
March 10, 2026
Energy | Economy | Fact Check
Did the U.S. Lose Its "Energy Independence"?
Examining the data behind claims that the U.S. was energy independent under the Trump administration but lost that status under President Biden.
March 9, 2026
Analysis | Immigration | Public Safety
Migrant Crime: What the Data Shows
An investigation into whether illegal immigration drives violent crime, using FBI data and Texas state statistics.
March 9, 2026
Analysis | Foreign Policy | NATO
The NATO Spending Surge: Examining the Impact of 'The Hague Commitment' and President Trump’s Pressure
An investigation into the historic shift in NATO defense spending, the new 5% benchmark, and the extent to which the Trump administration's pressure influenced European allies.
March 9, 2026
Fact Check | Economy | Trade
The Tariff Paradox: Evaluating the Impact on U.S. Manufacturing and Consumer Costs
An evidence-based analysis of how recent tariff policies have affected the U.S. trade deficit, manufacturing employment, and household expenses.
March 9, 2026